Study to Identify How Global Warming Will Influence Hurricanes in the Next Few Decades

by Rajashri on  October 11, 2008 at 4:14 PM Environmental Health
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An intensive study to examine how global warming will influence hurricanes in the next few decades has been launched by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado.

As part of the study, researchers are homing in on the hurricane-prone Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea to assess the likely changes, between now and the middle of the century, in the frequency, intensity, and tracks of these powerful storms.

The goal of the project is to provide information to coastal communities, offshore drilling operations, and other interests that could be affected by changes in hurricanes.

According to Cliff Jacobs, program director in the National Science Foundation (NSF)'s Division of Atmospheric Sciences, which is funding the project, "The outcome of this research will shed light on the relationship between global warming and hurricanes, and will better inform decisions by government and industry."

The project relies on an innovative combination of global climate and regional weather models, run on one of the world's most powerful supercomputers.

"It's clear from the impacts of recent hurricane activity that we urgently need to learn more about how hurricane intensity and behavior may respond to a warming climate," said NCAR scientist Greg Holland, who is leading the project.

"The increasingly dense development along our coastlines and our dependence on oil from the Gulf of Mexico leaves our society dangerously vulnerable to hurricanes," he added.

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guest

10/12/2008

We need this study; and we also need to look at mitigation-should global warming increase risk; such as geoengineering. This is an ethical issue. A probable fix exists to reduce statistical probability of hurricanes should they be global warming induced. If we know how to reduce death and destruction, shouldn't we study it?




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