The Poor Will Find Global Warming Both a Boon and a Bane

by Tanya on  February 23, 2010 at 9:07 AM Environmental Health
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While food prices and hunger will be adversely affected by global warming, thus intensifying poverty for some in the near future, a new study by researchers at Stanford University, US has also opined that others would be helped out of poverty by it.

Researchers say that higher temperatures could significantly reduce yields of wheat, rice and maize - dietary staples for tens of millions of poor people who subsist on less than 1 dollar a day.

The resulting crop shortages would likely cause food prices to rise and drive many into poverty.

"But even as some people are hurt, others would be helped out of poverty," said Stanford agricultural scientist David Lobell.

Lobell and his colleagues recently conducted the first in-depth study showing how different climate change scenarios could affect incomes of farmers and laborers in developing countries.

In the study, Lobell, former FSE researcher Marshall Burke and Purdue University agricultural economist Thomas Hertel focused on 15 developing countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America.

Hertel has developed a global trade model that closely tracks the consumption and production of rice, wheat and maize on a country-by-country basis.

The model was used to project the effects of climate change on agriculture within 20 years and the resulting impact on prices and poverty.

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