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Researchers Develop New Website That Calculates Risk of Dying
DeathRiskRankings.com uses public data from the United States and Europe to compare mortality risks by gender, age, cause of death and geographic region.
"Most Americans don't have a particularly good understanding of their own mortality risks, let alone ranking of their relevant risks," said David Gerard, a former engineering and public policy professor at Carnegie Mellon.
DeathRiskRankings.com can calculate a user's risk of dying within the next year or a longer period and rank the probable cause of death.
Paul Fischbeck, professor of social and decision sciences and engineering and public policy at Carnegie Mellon, said it can provide comparisons between, for example, a 54-year-old Pennsylvania woman or her counterpart in Britain.
"It turns out that the British woman has a 33-percent higher risk of breast cancer death," said Fischbeck, the site developer. "But for lung-throat cancer, the results are almost reversed, and the Pennsylvania woman has a 29-percent higher risk."
The risks of dying in the next year increase exponentially with age.
A 20-year-old US woman has a one in 2,000, or 0.05 percent, chance of dying in the next year.
By age 40, the risk is three times greater, by age 60, it is 16 times greater, and by age 80, it is 100 times greater, around one in 20, or five percent.
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