Math Glitch Means Extinction Risks for Endangered Species Underestimated

by Rajashri on  July 04, 2008 at 3:00 PM Environmental Health
  •   Print
  •   Share
  •   Comments
  •  Text 
A mathematical "misdiagnosis" may be responsible for underestimating the risk of extinction for endangered species, a new study has found.

According to Assistant Professor Brett Melbourne of CU-Boulder's ecology and evolutionary biology department, who led the research, current mathematical models used to determine extinction threat, or "red-listed" status, of species worldwide overlook random differences between individuals in a given population.

Such differences, which include variations in male-to-female sex ratios as well as size or behavioral variations between individuals that can influence their survival rates and reproductive success, have an unexpectedly large effect on extinction risk calculations, according to the study.

"When we apply our new mathematical model to species extinction rates, it shows that things are worse than we thought," said Melbourne.

"By accounting for random differences between individuals, extinction rates for endangered species can be orders of magnitude higher than conservation biologists have believed," he added.

Currently, extinction risk models are based primarily on two factors, according to Melbourne.

One is the number of random events adversely affecting individuals within a population.

"While a sequence of such random events in a small population can have a big impact, such events are far less likely to affect larger populations," said Melbourne.

The second risk factor used widely in extinction risk models is the impact of external, random events like temperature and rainfall fluctuations that can influence birth and death rates of individuals in a population.

Page 1 Page 1 | 2  Next
 Email Email   RSS Feeds RSS Feeds   Print this page Print   Save this page Save   Link Link   Syndicate Syndicate   Comments Comments   Bookmark and Share
 
Comment & Contribute
Comments should be on the topic and should not be abusive. Comments are normally moderated and are reviewed after they are posted.
* Your comment can be maximum of 2500 characters

Notify me when reply is posted
I agree to the terms and conditions
  
If you have a question about health related issues, you can now post it in our Ask An Expert section on our community website Medwonders.com and get answers from our panel of experts.
X

Medwonders Health Network

  • Health News Index
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
News Archive
Date :
Category :
Keyword :
  • News Quick Links
News Central Health Watch
Latest Health News Health In Focus
News Category (500+) Breaking Health News
Popular News Celebrating Life
Health News and Press Release Medindia - Exclusive
News Photo Gallery India Special
News Video Gallery Lifestyle and Wellness
News From Other Resources
News Categories:  
Obesity Health Center

Environmental Health Related News

» Nuclear Disasters Likely to Occur Once in 20 Years » Cut Down Seagrass Ecosystems to Liberate Carbon
» Research Shows Global Warming Intensifying Water Cycle » Future of Renewable Energy: Space-Based Solar Power?
» Earth Will Not be Able to Sustain Human Activity by 2030 » Fungus That Can Consume Discarded Plastic Discovered
» Prudent Intake Can Induce Dip in Carbon Footprint: Study » Study Links Air Pollution Level Changes in Beijing With Cardiovascular Disease Biomarkers
Read More >>