A bipartisan commission will tell Vice President-elect Joe Biden today that the United States can expect a weapons of mass destruction (WMD) attack by 2013. It is scheduled to be publicly released Wednesday.
Prepared by former Senators. Bob Graham of Florida and Jim Talent of Missouri, the Commission on the Prevention of WMD Proliferation and Terrorism report, says last week's rampage by a small group of gunmen in Mumbai could have been far more devastating in its impact had the terrorists had access to biological weapons.
"If those people had had access to a biological or nuclear weapon, they would have multiplied by orders of magnitude the deaths they could have inflicted," Graham said, adding that the attack served as a grim reminder that the global war on terror is far from over.
The report says the potential nexus of terrorism, nuclear and biological weapons is especially acute in Pakistan.
"Were one to map terrorism and weapons of mass destruction today, all roads would intersect in Pakistan," the report states.
Both however, acknowledged that terrorist groups still lack the needed scientific and technical ability to make weapons out of pathogens or nuclear bombs, but warned that the gap can be overcome easily if terrorists should find scientists willing to share or sell their expertise.
The commission believes biological weapons are more likely to be obtained and used before nuclear or radioactive weapons because nuclear facilities are more carefully guarded. Civilian laboratories with potentially dangerous pathogens abound, however, and could easily be compromised.